Lo trade futures CME (CME Group) — bukan pasar 24/7. Ada window spesifik yang lebih aktif dan ada hari-hari tertentu yang gak ada trading sama sekali. Ngehemat modal lo dengan ngerti calendar.
Jam trading CME
ES, NQ, MES, MNQ (dan semua index futures CME) buka hampir 24 jam, kecuali 1 jam maintenance harian. Jadwal:
| Sesi | ET (New York) | WIB (Jakarta) | Catatan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asia / overnight | 6:00 PM – 2:00 AM (sehari sebelumnya) | 5:00 AM – 1:00 PM | Volume rendah. Mostly institutional repositioning. |
| Pre-market / Europe open | 2:00 AM – 4:00 AM | 1:00 PM – 3:00 PM | Volume mulai naik. |
| Pre-market | 4:00 AM – 9:30 AM | 3:00 PM – 8:30 PM | Cash equity pre-market overlap. |
| RTH (Regular Trading Hours) | 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM | 8:30 PM – 3:00 AM (next day) | Volume tertinggi. Likuiditas terbaik. |
| Closing auction | 4:00 PM – 4:15 PM | 3:00 AM – 3:15 AM (next day) | MMDH. |
| After-hours / Globex | 4:00 PM – 5:00 PM | 3:00 AM – 4:00 AM (next day) | Volume moderat. |
| Closed (daily maintenance) | 5:00 PM – 6:00 PM | 4:00 AM – 5:00 AM | Order book di-reset. |
[!INFO] Konversi ke WIB: ET + 11 jam (atau ET + 12 jam kalo ada DST). Indonesia Barat (WIB) ada di UTC+7, New York ET (EST) UTC-5.
RTH vs ETH
RTH (Regular Trading Hours) — 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET
- ✅ Volume dan likuiditas tertinggi
- ✅ Tightest spreads
- ✅ Most order flow setup (Big Trade, Stacked Imbalance) ke-trigger di RTH
- ✅ Best for: semua setup intraday, especially continuation / acceptance
- ⚠️ Volatility tinggi — bisa swing $500 dalam 30 detik
ETH (Electronic Trading Hours) — di luar RTH
- ⚠️ Volume rendah
- ⚠️ Spread lebih lebar
- ⚠️ Slippage lebih tinggi
- ✅ Bisa catch gap fill / overnight setup
- ✅ Reversal setup kadang muncul di Asia session
[!TIP] Kebanyakan FlowJob Signature models di-design untuk RTH. Lo bisa trade ETH, tapi expect different behavior — bias doji / range-bound, less momentum. Start dengan RTH dulu.
Daily / weekly patterns
| Hari | Behavior umum |
|---|---|
| Senin | Gap risk dari weekend news. Volatile open, especially first 30 min. |
| Selasa | Steady. Mid-week. Sering "trend day". |
| Rabu | FOMC days kadang (lihat calendar). Mid-week continuation. |
| Kamis | Initial claims (US unemployment). Mid-week ke late-week. |
| Jumat | Profit taking. Position squaring. Lower volume di second half. "Reversal day" sering. |
| Weekend | Closed. Equity tidak trade. Crypto tetap 24/7 (kalau lo juga trade itu). |
Holiday calendar
CME tutup di US holidays. Beberapa yang penting:
- New Year's Day (Jan 1) — closed
- MLK Day (Senin ketiga Januari) — closed
- Presidents' Day (Senin ketiga Februari) — closed
- Good Friday — closed (despite Friday being otherwise weak)
- Memorial Day (Senin terakhir Mei) — closed
- Juneteenth (Juni 19) — closed
- Independence Day (Juli 4) — closed
- Labor Day (Senin pertama September) — closed
- Thanksgiving (Kamis keempat November) — closed
- Christmas (Desember 25) — closed
Plus beberapa "half day" — close di 1:00 PM ET. CME publishes official holiday calendar setiap tahun.
[!WARNING] Jangan trade di hari yang lo gak tau. Cek calendar CME sebelum market open.
News events yang nge-impact market
Beberapa event yang trigger volatility (bisa di-trade atau dihindari, tergantung style):
| Event | Schedule | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| FOMC rate decision | 8x per year, 2:00 PM ET | High. Range expansion. |
| NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) | First Friday of month, 8:30 AM ET | High. Forex + index futures. |
| CPI | Monthly, 8:30 AM ET | High. |
| PPI | Monthly | Medium. |
| GDP | Quarterly | Medium. |
| ISM PMI | Monthly | Medium. |
| Jobless Claims | Thursday, 8:30 AM ET | Low-Medium. |
| OPRA / 0DTE expiry | Daily, 4:00 PM ET | High (especially Wed/Fri). |
[!TIP] Liat tab DESK (Dealer tier) untuk daily brief yang highlight event penting hari ini.
Best practice
- Set timebox harian — 90 menit RTH trading per hari cukup. Jangan marathon 8 jam.
- First 5-15 menit — skip. Gap, low liquidity, false moves. Biarkan market "stabilize" dulu.
- Last 15 menit — hati-hati profit taking. Kalau lo hold overnight, reduce size.
- Holiday & Friday — reduce size atau skip. Banyak false moves.
- Pakai sesi yang match dengan setup lo — kalo setup lo butuh volume (Big Trade, Stacked Imbalance), RTH only. Kalo setup lo butuh range (mean reversion), bisa ETH.