Model Trading

Models overview

5 FlowJob Signature models yang sudah ter-seed. Apa arti tiap model, kapan ia bekerja, dan kapan tidak.

12 menit baca

Saat Anda membuat akun, 5 FlowJob Signature models otomatis ter-seed. Ini adalah template yang FlowJob sediakan berdasarkan institutional order flow trading. Mereka tidak bisa diedit atau dihapus, tapi Anda bisa membuat model tambahan.

[!INFO] Nama model persis seperti yang ter-seed ke database Anda. Lima nama di bawah ini muncul di dropdown Model dan di tab Models. Cover image-nya juga otomatis ter-set.

1. Big Trade Acceptance (Continuation Model)

Kapan bekerja: Anda melihat big trade agresif (≥100 contract di ES, ≥50 di NQ) di lokasi signifikan (VWAP, previous day high/low, session high/low). Harga hold & build, tidak langsung ditolak.

Entry: Saat retest area big trade. SL di belakang POC candle big trade. TP di extension target (typically 1:2 atau 1:3).

Ideal condition: Sejalan dengan bias HTF. Sesi aktif (RTH). Expansion day. Ada continuation dari level kunci.

Invalid condition: Big trade muncul di tengah chop. Harga reclaim dalam 5-10 ticks. Multiple rejections di area yang sama.

Confluence checklist:

  • Ada trade besar (≥100 contract) di lokasi masuk akal
  • Trade muncul di area yang signifikan (VWAP / session high / PDH/PDL)
  • Setelah trade muncul, harga lanjut, tidak langsung ditolak
  • Ada acceptance (hold & build di area)

2. Big Trade Failure (Reversal Model)

Kapan bekerja: Anda melihat big trade, tapi market menolak. Candle flip arah saat close. Harga tidak lanjut, kontrol berpindah.

Entry: Saat retest POC candle yang gagal. SL di atas/bawah extreme candle. TP di opposite side liquidity.

Ideal condition: Ada rejection yang jelas di level. Inventory kejebak (longs trapped di high, shorts di low).

Invalid condition: Big trade ditolak tapi harga langsung re-test tanpa continuation. Flip belum close (hanya wick).


3. Stacked Imbalance Continuation

Kapan bekerja: Ada stacked imbalance (≥3 level imbalance berturut-turut pada satu arah). Candle close solid (tanpa wick rejection). Follow-through di candle berikutnya.

Entry: Pullback ke area imbalance. SL di luar imbalance zone. TP di extension.

Ideal condition: Sejalan dengan HTF bias. Breakout / expansion day. Sesi dengan momentum (London open, NY open, NY lunch).

Invalid condition: Imbalance setengah-setengah (hanya 1-2 level). Tidak ada follow-through. Harga langsung reclaim area. Chop environment.


4. Stacked Imbalance Flip (Reversal Model)

Kapan bekerja: Ada stacked imbalance lawan. Candle close penuh (benar-benar penuh, bukan wick). Struktur berubah. Old FVG ter-flip.

Entry: Retest stacked imbalance baru. SL di balik extreme candle flip. TP di old value area.

Ideal condition: Agresi lama gagal. Dominasi berpindah tangan. Clear structural shift.

Invalid condition: Candle belum close (hanya intra-candle). Stack kecil dianggap flip. Tidak ada perubahan struktur.


5. Delta Flip Liquidity Grab

Kapan bekerja: Harga sweep swing high/low yang jelas. Ada delta flip nyata (positif jadi negatif atau sebaliknya) di candle sweep. Candle close balik ke dalam range.

Entry: Retest POC candle sweep. SL di belakang sweep extreme. TP di opposite liquidity (fair value gap, order block, atau equal lows/highs).

Ideal condition: Extreme level. Stop-loss cluster jelas. Sesi aktif. Volume spike di sweep candle.

Invalid condition: Tidak ada delta flip (hanya wick). Candle belum close. Sweep di tengah range. Tidak ada perubahan struktur setelahnya.


Cara pakai

Pas Anda log trade, pilih salah satu model ini (atau model sendiri Anda) di dropdown Model. Ini nge-tag trade dengan setup-nya. Analytics Anda bakal ngitung per-model performance otomatis.

[!TIP] Jangan paksa masukin trade ke model yang tidak match. Kalau Anda entry tanpa setup yang ke-clear, log sebagai "— None —" atau membuat model "Spontaneous / No setup". Ini ngebedain trade yang planned vs trade yang impulsif.

Decision tree: model mana yang harus Anda gunakan?

Saat Anda lihat chart real-time dan setup mulai forming, decision tree ini bantu Anda pilih model yang tepat:

[Lo liat price action]
         │
         ▼
Apakah ada big trade agresif (≥100 contract di ES, ≥50 di NQ) di lokasi signifikan?
         │
    ┌────┴────┐
   YES       NO
    │         │
    ▼         ▼
Apakah harga HOLD (accept) atau REJECT (fail) setelah big trade?
    │
  ┌─┴─┐
HOLD  REJECT
  │    │
  ▼    ▼
Big Trade Acceptance  Big Trade Failure
(Continuation Model) (Reversal Model)
Target: 1.5-3R       Target: 1-2R
SL: behind POC        SL: behind candle extreme
         │
         ▼
[Big trade gak ada. Lanjut cek imbalance]
         │
         ▼
Apakah ada stacked imbalance (≥3 level pada 1 arah) di lokasi?
         │
    ┌────┴────┐
   YES       NO
    │         │
    ▼         ▼
Apakah ada follow-through / candle close solid?
    │
  ┌─┴─┐
 YES  NO
  │    │
  ▼    ▼
Stacked Imbalance     Wait for confirmation.
Continuation           Mungkin flip. Re-evaluate in 1-2 candles.
Target: 1.5-3R
SL: behind imbalance
         │
         ▼
[Stacked imbalance ada tapi ada reversal pattern]
         │
         ▼
Apakah ada sweep (price sweep swing high/low) dengan delta flip?
    │
   YES
    ▼
Delta Flip Liquidity Grab
Target: 1-2R
SL: behind sweep extreme
         │
         ▼
[Tidak ada setup yang ke-clear?]
    Skip trade. No setup = no entry.
    Lanjut observasi. Setup akan muncul.

Decision tree ini bukan rigid. Use sebagai framework, bukan hukum.

Kapan pakai setiap model (contoh spesifik)

Big Trade Acceptance (Continuation Model)

Skenario ideal:

  • ES rally ke 5350, ada single print 250 contract di 5352
  • Harga hold di 5350+ untuk 5+ candles (acceptance)
  • Volume stays elevated (institutional accumulation, bukan distribution)
  • Bias HTF searah (juga uptrend)
  • Sesi aktif (RTH, bukan dead zone)

Time frame ideal: 5m-15m charts (institutional prints terlihat jelas)

Session ideal: RTH, terutama morning (9:30-11:00 AM ET), big trades paling clear.

Pair ideal: ES (volume tinggi = big trades frequent). NQ works tapi prints lebih noisy.

Win rate expectation: 55-65% (kalau setup well-formed). Avg R: 1.5-2.5R.

Big Trade Failure (Reversal Model)

Skenario ideal:

  • ES rally ke 5350, big trade 200 contract di 5352
  • Harga CANDLE FLIP di close (close < 5350)
  • Volume spike di reversal candle
  • Struktur berubah: higher lows break, lower highs form
  • Inventory trapped: longs stuck at high

Time frame ideal: 1m-5m untuk entry trigger (candle flip lebih jelas di low TF)

Session ideal: Last hour RTH (3-4 PM ET), profit taking, reversal setups common.

Pair ideal: ES dan NQ. NQ especially volatile, flips more dramatic.

Win rate expectation: 45-55% (reversals lebih jarang). Avg R: 1-2R.

Stacked Imbalance Continuation

Skenario ideal:

  • ES trending, ada 3+ consecutive imbalance pada bid (long) atau ask (short)
  • Candle close solid (bukan wick, wick = rejection, bukan continuation)
  • Imbalance di lokasi signifikan (VWAP, PDH/PDL, session H/L)
  • Volume supports the move
  • Sesi momentum (London open, NY open, NY lunch)

Time frame ideal: 1m-15m. Lower TF lebih clean untuk identify imbalance stacks.

Session ideal: RTH, terutama momentum windows (9:30-10:30 AM, 1:30-2:30 PM ET).

Pair ideal: ES, NQ. CL (crude) juga bagus karena ada strong imbalances.

Win rate expectation: 50-60%. Avg R: 1.5-2.5R.

Stacked Imbalance Flip (Reversal Model)

Skenario ideal:

  • Stacked imbalance pada satu arah
  • Reversal candle muncul dengan body besar
  • Struktur berubah (lower highs, higher lows break)
  • True FVG sebelumnya di-flip
  • Bukan hanya wick reversal, full candle close

Time frame ideal: 1m-5m. Reversal lebih reliable di low TF.

Session ideal: Last hour RTH, atau setelah news event (instant reversal).

Pair ideal: ES, NQ. CL (crude) also has clean imbalance reversals.

Win rate expectation: 40-50% (reversals less frequent). Avg R: 1-2R.

Delta Flip Liquidity Grab

Skenario ideal:

  • Price sweeps swing high (jika short) atau swing low (jika long)
  • Volume spike di sweep candle
  • Delta flips sign (positive → negative untuk short setup)
  • Candle close back ke range (bukan full breakdown)
  • FVG atau order block terbentuk pasca-sweep

Time frame ideal: 1m-5m. 1m sangat clean untuk delta shifts.

Session ideal: Any time, tapi lebih reliable saat high-volume (RTH, news events).

Pair ideal: ES (delta data paling reliable). NQ works.

Win rate expectation: 45-55%. Avg R: 1-2R.

Anti-patterns: kapan JANGAN pakai setiap model

Big Trade Acceptance, JANGAN pakai kalau:

  • ❌ Big trade muncul di tengah range (bukan trending day), likely noise, tidak sustain
  • ❌ Candle rejection setelah big trade (bukan acceptance), pakai Big Trade Failure instead
  • ❌ Volatilitas rendah (no volume), fake breakout, weak continuation
  • ❌ Pre-market atau dead hours, prints unreliable, follow-through lemah

Big Trade Failure, JANGAN pakai kalau:

  • ❌ Hanya wick (bukan full body flip), wick = rejection, bukan confirmed flip
  • No structural break, higher lows masih intact, reversal belum confirm
  • Pre-news, fake reversal saat spread lebar, skip
  • Sweep di low volume, liquidity grabs ≠ failed breakouts

Stacked Imbalance Continuation, JANGAN pakai kalau:

  • ❌ Imbalance tidak consecutive (hanya 1-2 levels, bukan 3+)
  • Wick candles (bukan full body), rejection, bukan continuation
  • Tidak ada volume confirmation, imbalance tanpa volume = noise
  • Counter-trend (HTF downtrend tapi Anda long), counter-trend setups have lower success

Stacked Imbalance Flip, JANGAN pakai kalau:

  • Single imbalance (bukan stack), single = noise, stack = signal
  • No structure change, old trend masih intact
  • Wick reversal, full body only
  • At extreme levels tanpa liquidity context, reversal di mid-range = low probability

Delta Flip Liquidity Grab, JANGAN pakai kalau:

  • No delta divergence (price sweep tanpa delta shift), setup incomplete
  • Trending day strong, sweep di strong trend = continuation, bukan reversal
  • Low volume, no real liquidity grab
  • Multiple sweeps in same direction (3rd sweep sering break)

Combine multiple models

Sering, multiple models confirm signal yang sama. Ini high-conviction.

Confirmation scenarios

Confirmation A: Big Trade + Stacked Imbalance

  • Big trade 200+ contract di 5350 (institutional)
  • Stacked imbalance 3+ levels di atas (4 buyers waiting)
  • Strong confluence → high probability setup
  • Size up (kalau bukan full size) karena confluence

Confirmation B: Big Trade Failure + Stacked Imbalance Flip

  • Big trade 250 contract di 5350 (rejection)
  • Stacked imbalance di bawah (sellers stack)
  • Candle close below → flip confirmed
  • Both signals = high probability reversal
  • Reduce size slightly (reversals inherently less reliable than continuations)

Confirmation C: Delta Flip + Failed Breakout

  • Price sweeps swing high
  • Delta flips negative (sellers aggressive)
  • Failed breakout (close back below swing high)
  • High conviction reversal

Conflicting models

Sometimes models give conflicting signals. Misal:

  • Big Trade Acceptance says: continuation long
  • Stacked Imbalance Flip says: reversal

Priority rules:

  1. HTF bias > LTF setup, kalau HTF downtrend, reversal setups lebih reliable
  2. Higher timeframe model wins, daily bias > 5m setup
  3. More confluence = higher priority, kalau 2 models say one thing, that's stronger
  4. When in doubt, no trade, skip. Wait for clear signal.

Setup confluence checklist (all models)

Sebelum entry dengan model manapun, verify:

  • HTF bias searah, daily chart support direction
  • Lokasi signifikan, di VWAP, PDH/PDL, session H/L, atau order block
  • Volume confirmation, increasing atau sustained, bukan declining
  • Sesi aktif, RTH, bukan pre-market / lunch / dead hours
  • Time frame valid, setup terlihat di TF yang Anda trade
  • No major news dalam 30 menit, skip high-impact news windows
  • Emotional state = Confident / Focused / Calm, bukan Tilt / Revenge / FOMO
  • Setup quality 7+ (skala 1-10), borderline setups tidak worth

3+ checklist items fail = skip trade. Don't override plan.

Setup quality scoring per model

Big Trade Acceptance

  • Big trade size: >200 contract = 9, 100-200 = 7, <100 = 5
  • Acceptance: 5+ candles = 9, 3-4 = 7, 1-2 = 5
  • Location: HTF level = 9, session = 7, mid-range = 5
  • Volume: elevated = +1, normal = 0, low = -1
  • HTF bias: aligned = +1, neutral = 0, counter = -1

Big Trade Failure

  • Candle body size: >2× average = 9, 1.5-2× = 7, <1.5× = 5
  • Structure break: clean = +2, messy = 0
  • Delta divergence: clear = +2, subtle = 0
  • Volume spike: yes = +1, no = 0

Stacked Imbalance

  • Stack size: 5+ levels = 9, 4 levels = 7, 3 levels = 5
  • Candle quality: full body = +1, wick = -1
  • Location: HTF level = +2, session = +1
  • HTF bias: aligned = +1, counter = -1

Stacked Imbalance Flip

  • Stack size: 5+ = 9, 4 = 7, 3 = 5
  • Reversal body: >2× avg = 9, 1.5-2× = 7
  • Structure change: clean break = +2, messy = 0
  • Old FVG flip: yes = +1, no = 0

Delta Flip Liquidity Grab

  • Sweep size: clean beyond level = +2, marginal = 0
  • Delta shift: dramatic = +2, subtle = 0
  • Volume spike: yes = +1, no = 0
  • FVG/OB after: yes = +1, no = 0

Real example: full setup walkthrough

Setup: Big Trade Acceptance di ES, RTH morning

Time: 9:45 AM ET, 14 Mar 2026

What happened:

  • ES rally dari open 5340 ke 5350 dalam 5 menit
  • Di 5350, ada single print 180 contract bid (buyer stack)
  • Harga hold di 5350-5352 untuk 3 candles
  • Volume sustained (RTH morning = high volume)
  • Daily chart uptrend (HTF aligned)
  • Anda sudah watchlist 5350 sebagai resistance → resistance become support

Decision tree:

  1. Ada big trade? Yes (180 contract).
  2. Hold atau reject? Hold (3+ candles).
  3. Lokasi signifikan? Yes (previous resistance, sekarang support).
  4. Volume confirm? Yes.
  5. HTF bias aligned? Yes (uptrend).
  6. Time of day OK? Yes (9:45 AM = momentum window).
  7. Setup quality (per checklist): 8-9.

Action:

  • Entry: Long di 5352 (1 tick above support)
  • SL: 5347 (5 points = 1.5 ATR on 5m chart)
  • TP: 5362 (10 points = 1:2 R:R)
  • Size: 1 contract ES = $250 risk
  • Setup quality: 8
  • Emotional state: Confident

Outcome (hypothetical): Hit TP at 5362. +$500. +2R.

How to log:

  • Pair: ES
  • Direction: Long
  • Entry: 5352, SL: 5347, TP: 5362
  • Outcome: Win
  • Net P&L: +$500
  • R-multiple: 2.0
  • Model: Big Trade Acceptance (Continuation Model)
  • Setup quality: 8
  • Discipline: 9
  • Trade grade: A
  • Notes: "180 contract bid di 5350, hold 3 candles. HTF uptrend. Entry 5352, exit 5362. Clean."

Kapan membuat model sendiri vs pakai Signature

Default ke Signature models. Bikin sendiri kalau:

✅ Anda tidak nemu Signature yang match setup Anda ✅ Anda eksperimen dengan setup baru (selama Forward Test) ✅ Anda punya setup proprietary yang bukan public knowledge ✅ Signature underperform dan Anda pengen alternative interpretation

Jangan membuat sendiri kalau:

  • ❌ Signature works tapi Anda "lebih suka" nama sendiri (ego)
  • ❌ Setup Anda basically sama dengan salah satu Signature (duplicate)
  • ❌ Anda membuat tanpa tested entry criteria (random)

Liat Bikin model sendiri untuk workflow detail.

FAQ

Q: Saya entry dengan Big Trade Acceptance, tapi setelah entry ES turun. Apa yang harus saya lakukan?

  1. Cek apakah SL valid. Kalau ES turun ke 5347 (SL level), cut.
  2. Kalau ES turun tapi hold di area support (5348-5350), consider hold. Update trade notes.
  3. Kalau ES turun breaks support (close < 5345), exit immediately regardless of SL. Structural break = invalidation.
  4. Kalau Anda feel urge to cut loss early (anxious), follow plan. Mechanical execution.

Q: Saya tidak lihat big trade di chart. Apakah saya bisa pakai Stacked Imbalance aja?

Yes. Models are independent. Kalau satu signal tidak ada, look for yang lain. Stacked Imbalance Continuation standalone is profitable setup (dengan confluence lain).

Q: Kapan saya pakai Delta Flip Liquidity Grab vs Stacked Imbalance Flip?

Keduanya reversal setups. Perbedaan:

  • Delta Flip: requires price sweep + delta shift. Lebih specific trigger.
  • Stacked Imbalance Flip: requires imbalance stack + reversal. Lebih general.

Pakai Delta Flip kalau sweep terlihat jelas. Pakai Stacked Imbalance Flip kalau sweep tidak ada tapi ada imbalance stack.

Q: Bagaimana cara identify "big trade"?

Tools:

  • ATAS: single trade filter
  • Sierra Chart: footprint chart dengan volume at price
  • TradingView: DOM (depth of market) atau order flow indicator
  • Bookmap: heatmap order flow
  • Tradovate: integrated volume at price

Rule of thumb: "big" = >100 contract single print di ES, >50 di NQ, >10 di CL, >5 di GC. Sesuaikan per instrument.

Q: Apakah setup ini work di crypto atau forex?

Setup ini di-design untuk futures dengan order flow data (ES, NQ, CL, GC). Crypto dan forex tidak punya order flow / footprint chart yang sama. Setup tidak translate langsung.

Kalau Anda trade crypto atau forex, membuat model sendiri yang match instrument tersebut. Signature models tidak apply.

Q: Saya plan pakai 2 Signature models (Big Trade Acceptance + Stacked Imbalance). Apakah correlation tinggi?

Moderate. Keduanya nge-detect institutional activity, tapi triggers berbeda (big trade vs imbalance stack). Correlation ~0.4-0.5. Acceptable diversification. Kalau Anda pengen lower correlation, tambah model dengan time horizon berbeda (misal 1h vs 5m).

Q: Apakah ada cara otomatis detect big trade di real-time?

Ya:

  • ATAS: alert kalau single print > X contract
  • Sierra Chart: study "Alert when single trade > X"
  • Bookmap: real-time heatmap, easy visual
  • Tradovate: order flow tools

Anda bisa set alert: "ES, 1 trade > 100 contract, alert me." Saves time vs manual monitoring.

Q: Saya sering lihat big trade tapi candle flip. Apakah ini Big Trade Acceptance atau Failure?

Depends on subsequent price action:

  • Hold + 3+ candles: Acceptance (use Big Trade Acceptance model)
  • Candle flip in 1-2 candles: Failure (use Big Trade Failure model)
  • Mixed: Ambiguous. Skip atau wait for next setup.

Realitanya, ~70% of big trades = acceptance, ~30% = failure. Default to Acceptance, unless you see clear flip.

Punya pertanyaan atau nemu bug? Tanya di Discord atau email ke support@flowjob.id.